Technical field
[0001] The invention relates to a method and an arrangement for determining in a weapon
system the position of the lead point of a moving target which is carrying out manoeuvres
in three-dimensional space with the aim of arriving at such a position that dropping
of its ordnance against an attack object becomes possible. The lead point is characterised
in that the time for the target to get there, that is to say the firing time, is equal
to the flying time of the projectile to this point. The method presupposes that there
is some type of sensor which can continuously provide the system with information
on the current position of the target. Similarly, a computing unit is presupposed
which can calculate the state of the target position and movement, calculate the predicted
position of the target and convert the position of the lead point to angle adjustments
of the weapon system. The last-mentioned also comprises compensation for ballistic
influences such as wind, temperature, air pressure, and so forth.
State of the art
[0002] When dealing with the prediction problem, a hypothesis or model is set up for how
the target will behave from then on and predictions are made with respect to the target
model. The model can be either deterministic or stochastic. Examples of possible target
models are:
- The speed vector of the target is assumed to be constant in magnitude and direction,
that is to say constant speed in the three coordinates for the entire firing time.
- The direction of the speed vector is assumed to be constant but the target is assumed
to accelerate or decelerate in the direction of the vector.
- The target is assumed to follow a path with constant acceleration in the three coordinates.
- The target is assumed to move in a circular path. In this target model, either a constant
speed of propagation can be assumed or acceleration along the circular periphery can
be allowed.
- The target is moving with constant acceleration but changes the acceleration at randomly
selected times. The acceleration value has a Gaussian distribution and the time with
constant acceleration has a Poisson distribution. Acceleration can occur in one or
in all three coordinates.
[0003] One problem affecting the prediction is that the measured position of the target
has noise. This noise entails that the state of the target position and movement must
be filtered before it can be utilised for predicting the future state of the target.
However, a filter always involves delay and this results in a system which cannot
instantaneously respond to fast changes in the actual state of movement of the target.
[0004] The great prediction problem is, however, that the state of movement of the target
can almost never be considered to be constant for all of the firing time. In a system
with anti-aircraft guns, for example, the fire control system will be able to predict
the future position of the target up to 10 seconds in advance. To this time, the filter
delay will then be added which can be a number of seconds. Naturally, the pilot will
always attempt by manoeuvring to minimise the time for which the target is in a constant
state of movement and, in consequence, the predicted position will be correct only
for a firing distance with very little firing time.
[0005] The disadvantage with the first four target models referred to above is that they
presuppose a constant state of movement for the entire firing time which cannot be
considered to be probable. Nor does any model utilize the fact that the-aim of the
manoeuvres of the target is in most cases to arrive at such a position that fighting
the attack object becomes possible. This position consists in a short straight-path
phase in which the pilot can aim and fire his ordnance. A typical situation with a
diving attack against a protected object is shown in Figure 1 which shows the disadvantages.
The figure shows the target position with a number of times and positions for the
lead points which are the result with traditional prediction where the state of movement
of the target is assumed to be constant over the whole firing time. Action against
the attacking target is only possible at a late stage at short distance. It is also
likely that the target has been able to drop its ordnance before it can be fought.
[0006] It is the object of this invention to solve the prediction problem considered above
or in any case to produce a better model for how the target will behave and thereby
to increase the probability for the target to be fought before it is able to empty
its ordnance.
[0007] The invention builds on a deterministic target model in which the state of movement
(speed and acceleration) of the target is changed over the firing time, that is to
say the time from firing of a projectile until it hits the target.
[0008] The invention is thereby mainly characterised in that
- the positions of probable objects of attack are supplied to the system,
- these positions are utilised in the calculation of the lead point, and
- target models, that is to say hypotheses of how the target will move, in the form
of combinations of circular peripheries, spherical surfaces and/or straight lines
are utilised in the calculation of the lead point.
[0009] By supplying the system with the position of probable objects of attack, this information
can be utilised for effectively predicting the probable lead point of the target.
The target models utilised in the lead point calculation are built up of a number
of components such as circular peripheries, spherical surfaces and straight lines
and are combined in such a manner that they correspond to the aim of the manoeuvres
of the target, namely to attack a predefined protected object.
[0010] The advantages produced with the invention are a longer effective range of fire for
the weapon system with manoeuvring targets, higher hit probability and possibility
to fight a target before it has been able to deposit its ordnance.
DESCRIPTION OF THE FIGURES
[0011] In the text which follows, an example of the invention will be described in greater
detail in connection with the attached drawings, in which
Figure 1 shows a typical situation in which the target carries out a dive attack against
a protected object,
Figure 2 indicates a continuous measuring of the target position in space,
Figure 3 shows how this information is utilised for defining a plan of movement and
a circular periphery along which the target is assumed to be moving,
Figure 4 shows how the position of the protected object, which is estimated to be
of importance for an attacker to knock out, is measured in, for example, right-angled
coordinates and is supplied to the system,
Figure 5 indicates how a plan of movement is continuously calculated during target
tracking,
Figure 6 shows a first movement model,
Figure 7 shows a second movement model,
Figure 8 shows a third movement model,
Figure 9 shows a fourth movement model,
Figure 10 shows a fifth movement model,
Figure 11 shows a movement model with horizontal correction, and
Figure 12 shows a summary, that is to say which movement model will be utilised in
different parts of the approach towards a protected object.
DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION
General
[0012] As mentioned in the introduction, the great prediction problem is that the state
of movement of the target is almost never constant over the firing time. The manoeuvres
of the target are in most cases due to the requirement to arrive at such a position
that fighting of the object of attack becomes possible. A typical situation is shown
in Figure 1 where a target (aeroplane) 1 manoeuvres to a short straight-path phase
in which the pilot can aim and fire his ordnance against a protected object 2. The
figure shows the position of the target at a number of times and for the lead points
which are the result with traditional prediction where the state of movement of the
target is assumed to be constant over the entire firing time. Action against the attacking
target 1 is then only possible at a late stage at short distance. It is also probable
that the target has been able to deposit its ordnance before it can be fought in such
a case.
[0013] By continuously measuring the position of the target in space via a sensor and in
the next stage filtering these measurement values, the state of position and movement
of the target can be expressed in, for example, right-angled coordinates. These states
are here made up of the vectors r, v and a according to Figure 2. These vectors can
then be utilised for defining a movement plane and a circular periphery along which
the target is assumed to be moving (Figure 3, reference 1). It can also be seen that
a movement plane and a circular periphery only become defined if the acceleration
vector (a) ≠ zero vector and the speed vector (v) is not parallel to the acceleration
vector (a). If these conditions are not met, one is forced to assume a movement along
v.
Solution
[0014] The system will offer the possibility of defining the position, relative to the fire
control system, of actual protected objects. These protected objects are objects which
are considered to be important objects to be knocked out by an attacker. In a vehicle
system, the vehicle itself is certainly an important object to be protected. The position
can be specified, for example, in right-angled coordinates and be supplied to the
system via a thumb wheel, menu or the like. An example of the process is shown in
Figure 4. This parameter input is only carried out after grouping of the system but
can be changed when required. The figure shows three more protected objects as example:
an aircraft hanger 2′, a radar station 2˝ and a bridge 2˝′.
[0015] The above-mentioned plane of movement is continuously calculated with target tracking.
The position of the protected object is projected in this plane and the point then
obtained in the plane is then utilised by the predictor for calculating a probable
target movement. The reason why the absolute coordinates of the protected object are
not utilised for this purpose is of course that it is not probable that this point
will be located in the calculated plane of movement. Moreover, there can be a situation
according to Figure 5 which shows a type of bombing raid. In this case it is probable
that the target aligns itself in the horizontal plane but not towards the height coordinate
of the target.
[0016] A number of movement models is defined and changes between them are made continuously
depending on the action of the target. These models are described below with illustrating
figures. Abrupt changes in position of the lead point are avoided by two movement
models, between which changes can occur, producing the same lead point at the boundary
transitions.
Movement model 1 (Figure 6)
[0017] In this case, the acceleration is 0, or alternatively there is only acceleration
in the direction of propagation. Since there is no acceleration across the direction
of propagation, no plane of movement is defined either. This is equivalent to having
an infinite radius of curvature of the circular movement. In this case, it is assumed
that the state of movement is constant over the firing time.
Movement model 2 (Figure 7)
[0018] For this movement, it applies that there is acceleration across the direction of
propagation and thus a plane of movement can be calculated. This model is utilised
when the target manoeuvres away from the projection of the protected object in the
plane or when this projection is included in the precalculated circle. In both these
cases, it is assumed that the state of movement of the target is constant over the
entire firing time.
Movement model 3 (Figure 8)
[0019] Likewise, the target acceleration and speed define a plane of movement in which the
target is assumed to be being propagated. If it is not assumed that the state of movement
of the target is changed over the firing time, this leads to the direction of the
vector of propagation of the target being assumed to pass past the projected object
under protection. This is assumed to be less probable and therefore the assumption
is made that the target (pilot) is selecting to level out towards the projected object
under protection and to attack it. This is certainly a coarse approximation since
a progressive levelling out would be more realistic, that is to say the radius of
curvature increases more and more. However, the approximation is good enough since
the state of movement of the target can still not be calculated accurately due to
the measurement noise. The acceleration in the direction of propagation is assumed
to be constant also after levelling-out.
Movement model 4 (Figure 9)
[0020] Assuming that movement model 3 has been utilised in an earlier stage, the change
to this movement model occurs after the vector of propagation of the target has passed
past the projected object under protection. This model can be seen to be peculiar
since the centre of curvature of the circular path (p′) is assumed to be displaced
180° with respect to the calculated one (p). The reason is that the lag of the filter
is compensated for. This lag entails that even if the target is executing an ideal
manoeuvre (circular path - straight path), a filter will produce a circular movement
with successively increasing radii. A distance (b) is calculated which specifies the
probable distance to the projection of the protected object when the target has levelled
out in a complete straight path. This distance is based on the distance to the target
and the earlier lead point.
Movement model 5 (Figure 10)
[0021] Assuming that movement model 4 has been utilised in an earlier stage, the change
to this model occurs after a centre of curvature has been produced which entails that
the target is considered to be manoeuvring in the direction towards the projected
object under protection. This target movement can be said to be identical with movement
3, with the difference that a shorter radius of curvature than that calculated is
assumed. In the case where the calculated radius of curvature (p) becomes less than
that assumed (p′), one naturally returns to movement model 3. A distance (b) is calculated
which specifies the probable distance to the projected object under protection when
the target is assumed to have levelled out in a complete straight path. This distance
depends on the distance to the target and the earlier lead point.
Movement model with horizontal correction (Figure 11)
[0022] As mentioned earlier, the absolute coordinates of the protected object are not used.
Instead, the position of the protected object is continuously projected in the plane
of movement which is defined by the speed and acceleration vectors of the target.
This implies that all movement models, even those which assume a change in the state
of movement of the target over the firing time, work with the hypothesis that the
target will come to move in this plane over the whole of the firing time. To further
utilise the position of the probable attack target in determination of the lead point,
one can additionally make the assumption that the target will manoeuvre outside the
plane of movement to come into line with the protected object. However, this correction
is only allowed in the horizontal plane since it is not certain that the target will
align itself with respect to the height coordinate of the protected object. The correction
is also only made if the shortest distance between the protected object and the plane
of movement is fairly limited. This combined movement model results in that the target
is assumed to be travelling along a spherical surface and a straight line. The situation
is most easily described with Figure 11 where there is some type of diving attack
against a protected object. When the target is located in accordance with the figure,
movement model 3 will be utilised. Without correction in the horizontal plane, the
result will be that the target is assumed to follow the broken trajectory and there
is a relatively large side error in the determination of the lead point. If, however,
a correction is carried out in the horizontal plane, it is assumed that the target
is travelling along the solidly drawn trajectory and a better result is obtained.
Naturally, the correction can also be utilised for movement models 4 and 5.
Movement models - summary (Figure 12)
[0023] Figure 12 shows a simple example which specifies which movement model is utilised
in different parts of the approach towards a protected object. The approach is shown
seen from above and is only diagrammatic.
[0024] Naturally, a movement model can be conceived which is built up with components other
than circular peripheries, spherical surfaces and straight lines. The unique feature
of the solution is that a number of movement models are combined for building up in
this manner a track-bound path shape in which the fact that the position of the attack
object is known is utilised. In the case where a number of protected objects are defined,
the computing unit can also be made to calculate different lead points. The fire control
system can then direct the connected weapon systems (assuming that several are connected)
against the different lead points and when certain lead points can be predicted, the
fire is concentrated against the most probable one.
REFERENCES
[0025] 1. Mechanics, Particle Dynamics - Part 1, Anders J. Thor, Anders Höglund.
1. A method for determining in a weapon system the position of one or more lead points
of a moving target (1) which is executing manoeuvres in three-dimensional space with
the aim of arriving at such a position that dropping of its ordnance against an attack
object (2) becomes possible, both the current-state of position and movement of the
target and its predicted position (lead point) being calculated and the position information
for the lead point being converted to angle adjustments of the weapon system, characterised
in that the positions of probable attack objects (2) are arranged to be supplied to
the system, that these positions are utilised in calculating the lead point or lead
points and that a number of movement models are combined for building up in this manner
a hypothetical path shape (target model) which the target is assumed to be following.
2. Method according to Claim 1, characterised in that the target model is built up of
circular peripheries, spherical surfaces and straight lines.
3. Method according to Claim 1, characterised in that the position of an attack object
(2) is specified in right-angled coordinates and is supplied to the system via thumb
wheel, menu or the like.
4. Arrangement for determining in a weapon system the position of one or more lead points
of a moving target (1) which is executing manoeuvres in three-dimensional space with
the aim of arriving at such a position that dropping of its ordnance against an attack
object (2) becomes possible, comprising elements for calculating the current state
of position and movement of the target and the predicted position-of the target (lead
point) and converting the position information of the lead point to angle adjustments
of the weapon system, characterised by elements for supplying the positions of probable
attack objects (2) to the system, and in that these positions are utilised in calculating
the lead point or lead points and that a number of movement models are arranged to
be combined for building up in this manner a hypothetical path shape (target model)
which the target is assumed to be following.
5. Arrangement according to Claim 4, characterised in that the target model is constituted
by a combination of circular peripheries, spherical surfaces and straight lines.