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(11) | EP 1 517 281 A3 |
(12) | EUROPEAN PATENT APPLICATION |
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(54) | Safety nets for alerting of hazardous situations in air traffic |
(57) The present invention relates to a system and a method for alerting of a potentially
hazardous situations in air traffic on the basis of surveillance data wherein predicted
conflicts are identified based on the prediction of future air traffic situations.
A basic idea of the present invention consists of defining a stochastic model for
trajectory prediction in which the uncertainty of the prediction is represented as
a function of the prediction time. The stochastic model for predicting trajectories
is preferably used to construct a stochastic model for conflict prediction. In the
latter model, probabilities of conflict are compared to minimum confidence levels
and allow to decide whether a given predicted situation is a predicted conflict or
not. |